Golden, British Columbia — Wildfire Smoke Forecast

Live PM2.5, AQHI and 48-hour smoke-model outlook · updated Aug 06, 11:25AM PDT

Current air quality

55 µg/m³ measured at Golden Helipad, 0 km away, at Aug 06, 11:00AM. The NowCast smoke average is 52 µg/m³ — Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups on the US EPA scale.

Sensitive groups — children, seniors, and people with heart or lung conditions — should reduce prolonged outdoor exertion.

Forecasts show smoke increasing, peaking near 427 µg/m³ within the next 48 hours.

Smoke is likely to persist beyond the next 48 hours.

Last 24 hours observed & next 48 hours forecast

4612310now-24 h+24 h+48 hµg/m³

Observed (hourly) · FireSmoke · FireWork · HRRR

Background bands (US EPA AQI, 24-h basis): Good · Moderate · Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups · Unhealthy · Very Unhealthy · Hazardous

Next 24 hours — model comparison

Next 6 hours
5–25 µg/m³
Peak around Aug 06, 3:00PM
Next 12 hours
5–25 µg/m³
Peak around Aug 06, 3:00PM
Next 24 hours
47–79 µg/m³
Peak around Aug 07, 11:00AM
Next 48 hours
81–427 µg/m³
Peak around Aug 07, 10:00PM
ModelPeak PM2.5Peak around
FireSmoke (UBC BlueSky)47 µg/m³Aug 07, 8:00AM
FireWork (ECCC)79 µg/m³Aug 07, 11:00AM
HRRR-Smoke (NOAA, 3 km)5 µg/m³Aug 06, 10:00PM

Model values are for the ~10 km grid cell nearest Golden; the two models are independent and often disagree — treat the higher value as the cautious planning number.

Observations and NowCast are total PM2.5 — wildfire smoke plus every other source — as regulatory monitors measure it, and FireWork models that same total. FireSmoke is a smoke-dispersion model: it estimates the wildfire contribution only, so it reads lower than the monitors whenever other sources matter. The map's optional plume layer is likewise fires-only.

Sky vs. ground

Little smoke at the surface or overhead.

Sky right now
Clear sky

At the ground · Overhead (if mixed down)

036735:00PM11:00PMµg/m³

Overhead smoke dims the sun but is not what you breathe. The dashed line shows the surface level if the whole column mixed through the boundary layer — a worst case, not a forecast · Data: NOAA HRRR-Smoke

Forecast track record here

19-day record · 1 nearby monitors

ModelTypical errorTendency
FireWork19.3 µg/m³reads low 18.8
FireSmoke57.6 µg/m³reads high 33.9

Mean absolute error and average tendency in µg/m³, from forecasts verified 0–6 hours ahead at monitors within 50 km. A short-range record, not a measure of how far ahead a model stays reliable. FireSmoke and HRRR model wildfire smoke only, so they read below the monitors whenever other sources of PM2.5 matter.

Nearest monitoring stations

Open the live chart for Golden Helipad — hourly observations, NowCast and both model forecasts.

See the British Columbia-wide forecast — every monitor, ranked →

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