Sydney, Nova Scotia — Wildfire Smoke Forecast

Live PM2.5, AQHI and 48-hour smoke-model outlook · updated Aug 07, 1:28PM ADT

Current air quality

7 µg/m³ measured at Sydney, 2 km away, at Aug 07, 1:00PM. The NowCast smoke average is 6 µg/m³ — Good on the US EPA scale. Environment Canada's Air Quality Health Index nearby is 1.

Air quality is good — ideal for outdoor activities.

Forecast concentrations stay near current levels over the next 48 hours.

No significant smoke is expected in the next 48 hours.

AQHI — now & forecast (Environment Canada)

1Now
2Fri
2Fri night
2Sat
2Sat night

1–3 low · 4–6 moderate · 7–10 high · 10+ very high · Forecast squares are Environment Canada's official AQHI period maximums.

Last 24 hours observed & next 48 hours forecast

20100now-24 h+24 h+48 hµg/m³

Observed (hourly) · FireSmoke · FireWork

Background bands (US EPA AQI, 24-h basis): Good · Moderate

Next 24 hours — model comparison

Next 6 hours
0–6 µg/m³
Peak around Aug 07, 8:00PM
Next 12 hours
0–9 µg/m³
Peak around Aug 07, 11:00PM
Next 24 hours
0–9 µg/m³
Peak around Aug 07, 11:00PM
Next 48 hours
0–9 µg/m³
Peak around Aug 07, 11:00PM
ModelPeak PM2.5Peak around
FireSmoke (UBC BlueSky)0 µg/m³Aug 08, 1:00PM
FireWork (ECCC)9 µg/m³Aug 07, 11:00PM

Model values are for the ~10 km grid cell nearest Sydney; the two models are independent and often disagree — treat the higher value as the cautious planning number.

Observations and NowCast are total PM2.5 — wildfire smoke plus every other source — as regulatory monitors measure it, and FireWork models that same total. FireSmoke is a smoke-dispersion model: it estimates the wildfire contribution only, so it reads lower than the monitors whenever other sources matter. The map's optional plume layer is likewise fires-only.

Sky vs. ground

Little smoke at the surface or overhead.

At the ground · Overhead (relative)

010203:00PM9:00PM3:00AM9:00AM3:00PM9:00PM3:00AM9:00AMµg/m³

Overhead smoke dims the sun but is not what you breathe. The dashed line is the column total scaled to a typical mixed plume, so it is comparable in shape, not in units · Data: ECCC FireWork

Forecast track record here

20-day record · 1 nearby monitors

ModelTypical errorTendency
FireWork1.6 µg/m³reads low 0.9
FireSmoke3.6 µg/m³reads low 3.6

Mean absolute error and average tendency in µg/m³, from forecasts verified 0–6 hours ahead at monitors within 50 km. A short-range record, not a measure of how far ahead a model stays reliable. FireSmoke and HRRR model wildfire smoke only, so they read below the monitors whenever other sources of PM2.5 matter.

Nearest monitoring stations

Open the live chart for Sydney — hourly observations, NowCast and both model forecasts.

See the Nova Scotia-wide forecast — every monitor, ranked →

More in Nova Scotia: Halifax